Excel Analysis and 4-page paper reportTackle the business situation in the attached scenario. Use attached excel for scenario and data set. Perform a

Excel Analysis and 4-page paper reportTackle the business situation in the attached scenario. Use attached excel for scenario and data set. Perform a decision tree analysis and recommend a solution. This recommendation will be included in a report that you will write, summarizing the key details of your analysis.

A.  Describe a business question that could be answered by applying decision tree analysis and is derived from the scenario in the attached “Decision Tree Analysis Resources.”

B.  Identify the relevant data values required for your decision tree analysis, including the following:

•   probabilities

•   payoffs

•   profits

•   demand

C.  Report how you analyzed the data using decision tree analysis by doing the following:

1.  Complete a decision tree diagram, including each of the following: 

•   state-of-nature nodes

•   calculated payoffs, each expressed out to two decimal places

•   expected values, each expressed out to two decimal places

2.  Justify why decision tree analysis is the appropriate analysis technique, including relevant details from the scenario to support your justification.

D.  Summarize the implications of your decision tree analysis by doing the following:

1.  Explain the role of probabilities and the role of demand for each branch.

2.  Explain how the expected value of each node is determined based on payoffs.

3.  Discuss one limitation of each of the following:

•   the data elements

•   the decision tree analysis

E.  Recommend a course of action that addresses the business question from part A and is based on the results of your decision tree analysis.

F.  Acknowledge sources, using in-text citations and references, for content that is quoted, paraphrased, or summarized.

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